As Piast Gliwice prepare to host Wisla Krakow, the consensus suggests a challenging task for the home side. However, the statistical undercurrent tells a more nuanced story. Piast sit at the bottom of the league, yet their home scoring average of 1.18 goals suggests they might offer more than their position implies. Wisla, meanwhile, are
Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Prediction and Analysis | Ekstraklasa | 01/08/2026
28.07.2026
09:42
Piast Gliwice
42%
VS
Wisla Krakow
26%
Prediction
Piast Gliwice
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
52% probability
Both Teams Score
YES
57% probability
56%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 122/217
★ BEST BET
Piast Gliwice Win
Piast Gliwice are favoured by the model with a 42% probability, providing a value edge over the implied odds. Their home scoring average of 1.18 goals and a solid historical head-to-head record against Wisla Krakow bolster this position. Despite their recent loss, their home form suggests potential resilience.
💡 Piast Gliwice have scored in 60% of their last 20 matches, highlighting their capability to find the net even when overall form fluctuates.
Final Result
Piast Gliwice 4 : 3 Wisla Krakow
Our prediction: 1 ✓
As Piast Gliwice prepare to host Wisla Krakow, the consensus suggests a challenging task for the home side. However, the statistical undercurrent tells a more nuanced story. Piast sit at the bottom of the league, yet their home scoring average of 1.18 goals suggests they might offer more than their position implies. Wisla, meanwhile, are buoyed by a top-five ranking and a recent victory, yet their away form raises questions. Both teams face pivotal moments with Piast needing points to escape relegation and Wisla eyeing European qualification. The stakes are high, and the narrative is far from straightforward.
Team Statistics
Piast Gliwice
LLDDW
6
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Avg Scored1.2
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.550%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets4
Failed to Score6
Home3W 3D 5L
Away3W 2D 4L
Wisla Krakow
WDLDW
9
Wins
8
Draws
3
Losses
Avg Scored1.65
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.545%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets6
Failed to Score3
Home7W 5D 2L
Away2W 3D 1L
Form Under Pressure
Form Under Pressure
Expert Prediction
Expert Prediction
What Is At Stake: The Full Picture
What Is At Stake: The Full Picture
How the Match Is Likely to Unfold
How the Match Is Likely to Unfold
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
Piast Gliwice are predicted to win with a 42% probability. They average 1.18 goals at home, making them a formidable opponent despite recent losses. Wisla Krakow's away form, with only one loss in their last six away games, provides a challenge but not an insurmountable one.
2
What are the odds for Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
The odds for Piast Gliwice to win are at 2.38, for a draw at 3.13, and for Wisla Krakow to win at 3.85. The implied probability for Piast Gliwice is approximately 42%, which aligns with the model's prediction, suggesting value in backing the home side.
3
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
The expected goals total is 2.03, with a 52% chance for over 2.5 goals. Given the historical head-to-head average of 3.67 goals per match, backing over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.92 seems reasonable.
4
What is the best bet for Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
The best value bet is Piast Gliwice to win at odds of 2.38. The model probability of 42% provides a slight edge over the implied odds, making it a solid choice.
5
What is Piast Gliwice's recent form?
Piast Gliwice's recent form includes a 2-0 loss to Zaglebie Lubin, a 2-0 home defeat to Odra Opole, a goalless draw with Polonia Bytom, a 2-2 draw with Miedz Legnica, and a 1-0 victory over Baník Ostrava. At home, they have won 3, drawn 3, and lost 5, scoring an average of 1.18 goals per game.
6
What is the Draw No Bet option for Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
The Draw No Bet odds are 1.72 for Piast Gliwice and 2.10 for Wisla Krakow. Given the home side's slight edge in probability and historical resilience, opting for Piast Gliwice Draw No Bet offers a safer alternative with decent value.
