As Wisla Plock welcome Widzew Łódź to their home ground, the key question is whether Wisla Plock can capitalise on their strong home form. Currently ranked second in the league, Wisla Plock have three points from their opening match, while Widzew Łódź sit eighth with a single point. Wisla Plock's ability to score an average
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Prediction and Analysis | Ekstraklasa | 31/07/2026
27.07.2026
09:41
Wisla Plock
46%
VS
Widzew Łódź
17%
Prediction
Wisla Plock @ 3.1
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2.25
35% probability
Both Teams Score
NO @ 1.85
38% probability
56%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 120/213
★ BEST BET
Wisla Plock Win @ 3.1
Wisla Plock have a 46% probability of winning, which is higher than the implied probability of 32.26% at odds of 3.1, presenting a value edge. Their home form shows a strong record, with six wins in their last twelve home matches, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding just 1.17. This contrasts with Widzew Łódź's poor away form, where they have failed to win any of their last six away games.
💡 Wisla Plock's home scoring average of 1.33 goals per match significantly contrasts with Widzew Łódź's away average of just 0.33 goals, illustrating the potential impact of home advantage.
Final Result
Wisla Plock 0 : 0 Widzew Łódź
Our prediction: 1 ✗
As Wisla Plock welcome Widzew Łódź to their home ground, the key question is whether Wisla Plock can capitalise on their strong home form. Currently ranked second in the league, Wisla Plock have three points from their opening match, while Widzew Łódź sit eighth with a single point. Wisla Plock's ability to score an average of 1.33 goals per game at home could be pivotal, especially against a Widzew Łódź side that struggles away, scoring only 0.33 goals on average. With both teams eager to solidify their standings early in the season, this match poses a significant test of Wisla Plock's home resilience versus Widzew Łódź's travel woes.
Team Statistics
Wisla Plock
WWWWD
10
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.565%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets6
Failed to Score8
Home6W 2D 4L
Away4W 2D 2L
Widzew Łódź
DWDWD
8
Wins
9
Draws
3
Losses
Avg Scored1.2
Avg Conceded0.6
Over 2.530%
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets12
Failed to Score9
Home8W 6D 0L
Away0W 3D 3L
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.5
Double Chance X21.35
Double Chance 121.35
Over 1.5 Goals1.42
Under 1.5 Goals2.8
Form Guide: The Last Month in Focus
Wisla Plock enter this match on a high, having won their last four matches, including a 2-1 away victory against Raków Częstochowa. Their attacking prowess is evident, scoring at least two goals in each of those wins. Meanwhile, Widzew Łódź have been less consistent, with a recent 2-2 draw at home against Motor Lublin. Their inability to secure a win on the road, coupled with their lower scoring average, suggests a lack of offensive rhythm away from home. Wisla Plock's recent form, marked by defensive solidity and effective finishing, positions them as the more confident side.
Prediction: What the Environment Suggests
The home advantage analysis strongly favours Wisla Plock, especially when considering Widzew Łódź's struggles on the road. The model assigns a 46% win probability to Wisla Plock, while the odds of 3.1 imply a lower probability, suggesting value in backing the home side. Given Wisla Plock's robust home form and Widzew Łódź's away challenges, a Wisla Plock win at odds of 3.1 appears to be the most prudent bet. The data indicates that Wisla Plock's home strength should outshine Widzew Łódź's away frailties.
Predictions
Wisla Plock's home advantage seems significant in this fixture, given their record of six wins from twelve home matches. They average 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game at home, which is a solid foundation. Comparatively, Widzew Łódź's away form is less impressive, with no wins in their last six away games, averaging a mere 0.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. This stark contrast in home and away performances suggests that Wisla Plock's home ground could be a fortress that Widzew Łódź finds difficult to breach. Such a disparity in performance metrics underlines the potential impact of home advantage, making it a significant factor in the outcome of this match.
The Decisive Statistical Battlegrounds
The first key battle is Wisla Plock's home attack versus Widzew Łódź's away defence. Wisla Plock average 1.33 goals at home, while Widzew Łódź concede 0.83 away, tilting the balance towards the home side. Secondly, Wisla Plock's ability to maintain clean sheets at home, achieving six in their last twenty, contrasts with Widzew Łódź's struggle to find the net away, scoring just 0.33 goals. Finally, the midfield possession battle will be crucial. Wisla Plock's lower possession average of 34% suggests they rely on quick transitions against Widzew Łódź's 52% possession, indicating a clash of styles. The most significant battle is the home attack against the away defence, as it directly relates to the recommended market of a Wisla Plock win.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
Wisla Plock are predicted to win with a probability of 46%. They have a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.33 goals, while Widzew Łódź struggle away, scoring just 0.33 goals per match. Wisla Plock's defensive solidity, with six home clean sheets, further supports their chances.
2
What are the odds for Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
The odds for Wisla Plock are 3.1, the draw is 2.84, and Widzew Łódź is 2.54. Converting these to implied probabilities gives 32.26% for Wisla Plock, 35.21% for a draw, and 39.37% for Widzew Łódź. The model suggests value in backing Wisla Plock, whose win probability is higher than implied by the odds.
3
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
The BTTS probability is 38%, with odds of 1.85 for Yes and 1.9 for No. Historically, BTTS occurred in 63% of their head-to-head games. However, Widzew Łódź's away form, with nine games where they failed to score, suggests they are the team most likely to struggle offensively.
4
What is the best bet for Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
The best value bet is Wisla Plock to win at odds of 3.1. This bet is supported by a model probability of 46%, offering a value edge over the implied probability of 32.26%. Wisla Plock's strong home form and Widzew Łódź's poor away record reinforce this choice.
📋 More Predictions: Ekstraklasa
