As Londrina host Avai, fans in the city are eager to see if their side can reverse a dismal home run. Londrina's recent form has seen them struggle, with a string of defeats highlighting their challenges. Avai, sitting ninth, are pushing to close the gap on the top eight, and their recent upturn in form
Football Tips: Londrina vs Avai | Serie B | 16/06/2026
12.06.2026
09:41
Londrina
34%
VS
Avai
34%
Prediction
Draw @ 3.2
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2.1
44% probability
Both Teams Score
NO @ 1.8
47% probability
★ BEST BET
Draw @ 3.2
The model suggests a 32% chance for a draw, aligning closely with Avai's recent form, where they've drawn 35% of their matches. Londrina's home struggles, with only two wins in 10 matches, further support this. The value edge lies in the model's probability equalling the market's implied probability, making the draw a balanced option.
💡 Londrina's home form shows only two wins from 10 matches, highlighting a significant vulnerability that Avai could exploit, especially given their improving trend.
Final Result
Londrina 3 : 2 Avai
Our prediction: X ✗
As Londrina host Avai, fans in the city are eager to see if their side can reverse a dismal home run. Londrina's recent form has seen them struggle, with a string of defeats highlighting their challenges. Avai, sitting ninth, are pushing to close the gap on the top eight, and their recent upturn in form could be crucial. With Londrina averaging only 0.8 goals per home game, Avai might fancy their chances to at least secure a point.
Team Statistics
Londrina
LLLWL
6
Wins
4
Draws
10
Losses
Avg Scored0.85
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.545%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets6
Failed to Score10
Home2W 3D 5L
Away4W 1D 5L
Avai
LWWLW
7
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Avg Scored1.3
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets7
Failed to Score5
Home4W 4D 3L
Away3W 2D 4L
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.33
Double Chance X21.62
Double Chance 121.28
Over 1.5 Goals1.38
Under 1.5 Goals3
How These Teams Have Met Before
Historically, Avai have had the upper hand, winning five of the last eight encounters. Their ability to score against Londrina has been consistent, even when away from home. Recent meetings, like the 1-1 draw in October 2023, show Londrina can hold Avai to a draw, but victories have eluded them. With an average of 1.88 goals per match in these clashes, it suggests tight contests, often decided by narrow margins. This history supports the tactical analysis that Avai have a slight edge.
Final Verdict
Londrina's defensive approach might struggle against Avai's attacking width, but Avai's own away inconsistencies make a draw probable. The model gives both teams a 34% win probability, but the draw at odds of 3.2 represents value. Avai's recent form improvement and Londrina's home struggles suggest a cautious approach. The risk lies in Avai's potential to exploit Londrina's defensive lapses, but their away vulnerabilities balance this out. Overall, the draw seems the safest bet.
Systems in Conflict: The Tactical Case
This match poses a strategic conundrum: can Londrina's defence withstand Avai's improving attack? Londrina usually set up defensively, often sitting deep and looking to absorb pressure, which is evident from their low scoring home matches. Avai, on the other hand, typically employ a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on width and direct play, as indicated by their average of 4.4 corners per away game. Expect Londrina to concede possession, aiming to counter-attack when possible. Avai will likely look to stretch Londrina's backline with their wide players, creating spaces for their forwards. The key battle will be Avai's wingers against Londrina's full-backs, a clash that could dictate the flow of the game.
Squad Strength: Who Has the Depth?
Avai's squad depth appears more robust, with no significant injuries affecting their line-up. This could prove vital as Londrina's recent home performances have been inconsistent, with only two wins to show. Avai's away record is patchy, but their ability to score and create chances makes them a threat. Londrina's lack of scoring at home, coupled with a tendency to concede, puts them at a statistical disadvantage. Avai's improving form, despite some away losses, suggests they have the resilience to capitalise on Londrina's weaknesses.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the odds for Londrina vs Avai?
The odds are Londrina at 2.26, Draw at 3.2, and Avai at 3.2. The implied probabilities are 44.25% for Londrina, 31.25% for a draw, and 31.25% for Avai. The model values the draw at 32%, making it a balanced option.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Londrina vs Avai?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 44%, with odds of 2.1. Given the xG total of 2.35 and H2H history, a low-scoring game is likely, so under 2.5 goals is a safer bet.
3
What is Londrina's recent form?
Londrina's recent form shows four losses and one win, with their last five results being a 0-1 loss, 0-1 loss, 0-3 loss, 4-1 win, and 0-3 loss. At home, they have won two, scored an average of 0.8 goals, and kept three clean sheets. Their form is declining.
4
What does the head-to-head record say about Londrina vs Avai?
In the last eight encounters, Londrina have not won, with three draws and five losses. The average goals per meeting is 1.88, and only 25% of matches have seen over 2.5 goals. Avai's dominance is clear.
5
Are there injury concerns for Londrina vs Avai?
There are no significant injuries reported for either team, so both squads appear fit. This suggests tactical approaches will not be affected by absences.
