In the border city of Ciudad Juárez, FC Juarez face a crucial fixture against Club Queretaro at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. The stakes are high for both teams, albeit for different reasons. FC Juarez are languishing at the bottom of the Liga MX table with just five points, desperate to halt a lamentable run
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro — Analysis and Odds | Liga MX | 31/10/2026
27.10.2026
07:40
FC Juarez
21%
VS
Club Queretaro
45%
Prediction
Club Queretaro @ 2.2
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.7
49% probability
Both Teams Score
YES @ 1.6
50% probability
45%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 131/293
★ BEST BET
Double Chance X2 @ 1.4
The model gives Club Queretaro a 45% chance of winning, which is higher than the implied probability of 45.45% at odds of 2.20. With Queretaro's solid away form, including seven wins in 13 matches, and Juarez's poor home performances, this market offers value. Juarez's defensive frailties, conceding an average of 1.75 goals at home, further support this pick.
💡 FC Juarez have failed to score in 43% of their home matches this season, highlighting their attacking struggles and making them vulnerable against a side like Club Queretaro.
In the border city of Ciudad Juárez, FC Juarez face a crucial fixture against Club Queretaro at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. The stakes are high for both teams, albeit for different reasons. FC Juarez are languishing at the bottom of the Liga MX table with just five points, desperate to halt a lamentable run of form that sees them conceding over two goals per game. Meanwhile, Club Queretaro sit comfortably in ninth place, eyeing a climb into the higher echelons of the standings. Despite Juarez's home advantage, their record of just one win in eight home matches offers little solace. The narrative is compelling: a struggling home side against a visiting team with a penchant for away victories. Juarez may be buoyed by a week of rest, but can they overcome their defensive woes? This match has the potential to be a pivotal moment in their season.
Team Statistics
FC Juarez
DLLDL
4
Wins
4
Draws
12
Losses
Avg Scored1
Avg Conceded2.1
Over 2.560%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets1
Failed to Score7
Home1W 2D 5L
Away3W 2D 7L
Club Queretaro
LLLWW
9
Wins
3
Draws
8
Losses
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets6
Failed to Score5
Home2W 2D 3L
Away7W 1D 5L
Venue
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
22,300 capacity · Grass
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.55
Double Chance X21.4
Double Chance 121.29
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4
The Form Book
FC Juarez's recent form is a reflection of their troubled season. They managed a draw in their last outing against Necaxa, but before that, they suffered a demoralising 5-0 defeat at Cruz Azul. A 1-1 home draw against Tijuana showed some resilience, yet it’s overshadowed by a 1-0 loss to Atlante FC. Their lone bright spot in recent months was a 2-0 victory at home against Tigres UANL. In stark contrast, Club Queretaro have rediscovered their form with two wins in their last five matches. They defeated Atlante FC 2-0 at home, and a 2-0 away victory against Guadalajara Chivas showcased their ability to score and keep clean sheets. While both teams have shown glimpses of potential, Queretaro's recent resurgence makes them the more confident side heading into this clash.
Our Prediction
Our prediction is for Club Queretaro to secure a victory against FC Juarez. With a model probability of 45% and odds of 2.20, there is a slight value edge for Queretaro. Juarez's defensive vulnerabilities and Queretaro's strong away record bolster this prediction. However, the risk lies in Juarez's potential to exploit any complacency from their visitors, especially after a full week of rest. This match feels like a pivotal moment, where Queretaro's efficiency on the road could meet Juarez's desperation to break their slump. The first goal could be crucial, setting the tone for the evening.
The Market Analysis
The betting markets reflect a keen interest in Club Queretaro's chances, with them priced at odds of 2.20 for the win, highlighting their perceived superiority. The market also suggests a moderate expectation of goals, with the Over 2.5 market priced at odds of 1.70. Statistically, Juarez's defensive record at home is worrisome, conceding 1.75 goals on average, while Queretaro's away scoring average of 1.15 goals per game supports the market's lean towards a Queretaro win. The BTTS market, at odds of 1.60 for Yes, reflects a fair chance given both teams' tendencies to score and concede. With a model indicating a 45% probability of a Queretaro win and a 50% chance of BTTS, the market seems well-aligned with statistical expectations.
The Story So Far
FC Juarez’s season has been a tale of struggles and missed opportunities. With just five points from 14 matches, they are rooted to the bottom of the Liga MX table. Their campaign has been marred by defensive frailties, conceding 42 goals in total, an average of over two per game. Fans have grown restless, yearning for a turnaround that seems elusive. In contrast, Club Queretaro have had a more balanced journey, currently positioned ninth with 20 points from 13 games. Their season has been characterised by a mix of highs and lows, but recent back-to-back victories have reignited hopes of a top-tier finish. The fans are cautiously optimistic, aware that consistency is key. For both managers, this match could prove to be a turning point — for Juarez, a chance to salvage pride; for Queretaro, an opportunity to solidify their position. The question is, who will seize the moment?
What Could Go Wrong
One potential pitfall for our prediction is FC Juarez's sporadic capability to pull off an upset, as evidenced by their 2-0 home win against Tigres UANL earlier this season. Despite their overall poor form, Juarez have managed to keep matches competitive, drawing 1-1 with Club Tijuana recently. Moreover, Queretaro's own form has been patchy, with a heavy 5-0 defeat to Santos Laguna highlighting vulnerabilities. Juarez could exploit these defensive lapses if Queretaro are not on top of their game. Historically, the head-to-head record shows Juarez can hold their own, with four draws in the last ten meetings. For those concerned about an unexpected Juarez resurgence, hedging with a Double Chance bet on Queretaro or a draw at odds of 1.40 might offer a safer alternative, reducing exposure to an outright upset.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 49%, with the market priced at odds of 1.70. Given both teams' recent scoring trends, the recommendation leans slightly towards a Yes.
2
What is the correct score prediction for FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
The model's most likely score is 0-1, aligning with Club Queretaro's expected victory. This is supported by their xG of 1.22 compared to Juarez's 0.85.
3
Will both teams score in FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
The BTTS probability is 50%, with Yes at odds of 1.60. Juarez's failure to score in 43% of home matches suggests they might struggle to find the net.
4
What is Club Queretaro's away form this season?
Club Queretaro have won four, drawn one, and lost two of their last seven away matches. They score an average of 1.15 goals per away game.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
In the last ten meetings, Queretaro have won five, drawn four, and lost one. The average goals per game is 2.4, with 50% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
6
Which players are key to watch in FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro?
Juarez's attack averages just 0.88 goals at home, indicating a struggle for creativity. Queretaro's more balanced setup, scoring 1.15 goals away, suggests they create better chances.
